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A Fools Game

I received an email this week with a question (below) which caused me to think about the wisdom of pursuing trading as a career. Regardless of your trading time span, the skills and concerns of active short-term trading are relevant to all market particpipants.

Question: "There are a lot of people who say that day trading is for "fools" and that it is very difficult to make a living from Day Trading. What are your opinions?"

Trading is like most business: it requires commitment and perseverance. It is never easy to make money, but people who have mastered a skill make it appear easy. The really successful pit traders that I have known made trading look very easy, tantalisingly easy; but they all had many years of experience behind them. For every successful trader there has probably been a few hundred who have tried and failed.

I think people fail at any business if they approach it without an appreciation and understanding of what is required for success. The majority of traders fail because they have no such appreciation and they have unrealistic expectations of themselves. Any trader who starts with the expectation of becoming an instant success is setting himself up for failure. No one would decide to become a golf pro and assume that they could just pick up a bag of clubs and start winning tournaments. Yet novice traders do this all the time.

Just to start with the understanding that trading is a skill that is developed over time, through experience, puts a novice trader way ahead of the competition.

There are 2 core skills in trading, first the ability to anticipate the market (read the market) and second, having the discipline to execute your plan. To learn to read the market you may as well use a trading simulator and only start to trade when you have demonstrated to yourself that you can anticipate the market. Discipline, though, has to be developed and tested in the real world. Discipline is really the crux of the matter and it is here that most traders fall down. Their failure is mainly due to the fact that they are not really aware of its importance. Just starting out as a trader with the intention of developing your discipline puts you way ahead of the average trader. If you can trade with discipline (i.e. stick to your own rules and limits) you are 95% there!

So I would say that for the average aspiring trader, trading is a fool's game; but for those of us who approach the business as a business, with a clear understanding of the unique challenges that trading offers, it is a rewarding and fulfilling career.

Malcolm Robinson
LIFFE Pit Trader & Electronic Trader
InstinctiveTrader.com

In The News:


AFP

Euro Back in Favor as Stocks Gain
Wall Street Journal - 1 hour ago
The single currency is trading above $1.2600 after it declined to $1.24 Thursday when oil prices retreated under $50 a barrel and US stock markets fell hard ...
Yen Trades Near Three-Week High on Signs US Recession Deepens Bloomberg
Dollar Maintains its Safe Haven Status International Business Times
AP Executive Morning Briefing The Associated Press
guardian.co.uk - Bloombergall 345 news articles

Currency Trading Markets Remain Highly Correlated to Dow Jones ...
Daily FX, NY - Nov 18, 2008
Currency trading markets continue very highly correlated to broader risky asset classes, as the common theme of financial market deleveraging creates strong ...
Currency Trading Markets Remain Highly Correlated to Dow Jones ... Daily FX
all 6 news articles

Euro Forecast to Decline Further Against US Dollar on Forex ...
Daily FX, NY - 22 hours ago
EURUSD – Currency trading crowds have recently bought the Euro against the US Dollar, and we forecast that the sudden shift in sentiment may bring Euro ...

Kuwait Times

Forex Expo promotes currency trading as alternative to bourse
Kuwait Times, Kuwait - 19 hours ago
By Dana Khraiche, Staff writer KUWAIT: Currency trading has its ups and downs. Recently, one of Kuwait's largest lenders, Gulf Bank suffered a major crisis ...

BBC News

Hong Kong Loves Its Currency Peg
Wall Street Journal - 1 hour ago
That means Hong Kong remains cost-competitive with a major trading partner, even if authorities have to deploy their reserve funds to keep the peg intact. ...
Asian Markets Recover, and Europe Posts Modest Advances New York Times
Citi cuts 52'000 jobs, markets jitter and stumble amidst continued ... Forex Hound
ASIA MARKETS: Stocks In Asia Erase Early Losses To End Higher CNNMoney.com
FXstreet.com The Foreign Exchange Market - The Associated Pressall 696 news articles

AFP

Australia, NZ Dollars Drop as Stocks Plunge; RBA Intervenes
Bloomberg - 14 hours ago
Australia's currency dropped as low as 60.76 US cents, close to the low of 60.1 cents touched Oct. 28, before trading at 61.11 cents as of 12:25 am in ...
Australian central bank defends dollar after new slump AFP
Aussie dollar vulnerable to recession fears The Australian
Australian, New Zealand Dollar Decline on Equities, RBA Minutes Bloomberg
Bloomberg - Bloombergall 152 news articles

Gulf Times

Indonesia's Rupiah Is `Undervalued,' Treasurers Say (Update1)
Bloomberg - 7 hours ago
Indonesia's currency fell as low as 13150 against the dollar, the weakest since August 1998, before trading at 12530 as of 2:22 pm in Jakarta, compared with ...
Indonesian rupiah plummets as nation attempts to quell crisis International Herald Tribune
Indonesia rupiah hits decade low, market on edge guardian.co.uk
Rupee at record low Inquirer.net
FreshPlaza - Bloombergall 59 news articles

Reuters

Heinz quarterly profit rises, helped by hedging
Forbes, NY - 1 hour ago
Sales rose in all segments except US foodservice, with sales of ketchup up 12 percent, excluding currency fluctuations, due to new packaging and price ...
Heinz Says Profit Rose on Higher Sales, Reiterates Forecast Bloomberg
Heinz 2Q Net Rises 22% On Higher Prices, Hedging Gain CNNMoney.com
all 190 news articles

AFP

WSJ(11/11) Currency Trading: Bad Crop: Commodity Currencies
Alibaba News Channel, NEW YORK - Nov 11, 2008
In currency markets gripped by turmoil, investors have targeted one group for special punishment: big commodity exporters. This cluster includes the ...
Value Plays in Equity Markets Help Support Euro Rally International Business Times
Euro firms against dollar, pound sinks amid credit turmoil AFP
Yen Falls Most in Two Weeks Versus Dollar, Euro as Stocks Rally Bloomberg
RTT News - International Business Timesall 224 news articles

Rebound Seen After Brutal Selloff
Wall Street Journal - 1 hour ago
The euro was higher against the dollar early Friday in New York as investors unwound some safe-haven flows into the US currency. Early Friday in New York, ...
currency trading - Google News

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